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Moreirense vs Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 7 Mar 2026

Moreirense

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Sat, 7 Mar 202616:30

1 : 1

Full time

Nacional

LLLDL

Pre-match win probability

39.7%Moreirense29.2%Draw31.1%Nacional

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Moreirense

Moreirense vs Nacional listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence39.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Moreirense 39.7%
  • Draw 29.2%
  • Nacional 31.1%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

MoreirenseNacional

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals11% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X53.6%
X246.4%

Match result

Moreirense2.35
Draw3.2
Nacional3

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

Moreirense

Chance39.7%
Odds2.35

Draw

Chance29.2%
Odds3.2

Nacional

Chance31.1%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.36

MoreirenseNacional
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall56%44%

Moreirense vs Nacional: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 7 Mar 2026

Moreirense meet Nacional in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 7 March 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Moreirense at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Moreirense vs Nacional FAQs

4 questions

What time is Moreirense vs Nacional?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 7 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Moreirense vs Nacional?

Moreirense is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Moreirense vs Nacional prediction, H2H and stats