Get Premium

Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast Knights Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · Queensland NPLFri, 20 Feb 2026

Moreton City Excelsior

3rd in table · 39 pts

LWLWL

Fri, 20 Feb 202610:30

4 : 1

Full time

Gold Coast Knights

4th in table · 38 pts

DLDWL

Pre-match win probability

51.7%Moreton City Excelsior23.5%Draw24.8%Gold Coast Knights

Our prediction

Moreton City Excelsior

Moreton City Excelsior is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.73
Confidence51.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Moreton City Excelsior 51.7%
  • Draw 23.5%
  • Gold Coast Knights 24.8%

Season statistics

Queensland NPL · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Moreton City ExcelsiorGold Coast Knights
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.5
Wins
1211
Played
2222

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Moreton City Excelsior4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 5 SeptPeninsula Power3 – 2Moreton City ExcelsiorL
  • 29 AugMoreton City Excelsior2 – 0Gold Coast KnightsW
  • 14 AugMoreton City Excelsior0 – 2LionsL
  • 8 AugOlympic1 – 2Moreton City ExcelsiorW
  • 2 AugBrisbane Roar II2 – 0Moreton City ExcelsiorL
Gold Coast Knights3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 29 AugMoreton City Excelsior2 – 0Gold Coast KnightsL
  • 14 AugBrisbane Roar II1 – 2Gold Coast KnightsW
  • 8 AugGold Coast Knights2 – 2Peninsula PowerD
  • 1 AugGold Coast United1 – 0Gold Coast KnightsL
  • 25 JulGold Coast Knights1 – 1Gold Coast UnitedD
H2H
Head to headMoreton City Excelsior 3W · 0D · Gold Coast Knights 3W · 3.7 goals a game
  • 29 AugMoreton City Excelsior2 – 0Gold Coast Knights
  • 4 JulGold Coast Knights2 – 1Moreton City Excelsior
  • 15 AugMoreton City Excelsior4 – 0Gold Coast Knights
  • 2 MayGold Coast Knights1 – 0Moreton City Excelsior
  • 2 AugGold Coast Knights2 – 5Moreton City Excelsior
  • 27 AprMoreton City Excelsior2 – 3Gold Coast Knights

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.022.2% · 10.5
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.9% · 1.579.9% · 2.35
3.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.2% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X61%
X239%

Match result

Moreton City Excelsior1.73
Draw3.8
Gold Coast Knights3.6

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance61%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance39%
Odds1.91

Moreton City Excelsior

Chance51.7%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance23.5%
Odds3.8

Gold Coast Knights

Chance24.8%
Odds3.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Moreton City Excelsior at 1.73

Moreton City ExcelsiorGold Coast Knights
Recent form54%46%
Attack59%41%
Defence46%54%
Goals model59%41%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall68%32%

Trends

Trend · Queensland NPL

Moreton City Excelsior scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Queensland NPL

Moreton City Excelsior conceded 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Queensland NPL

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Queensland NPL

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast Knights: prediction & preview

Australia · Queensland NPL · Fri, 20 Feb 2026

Moreton City Excelsior meet Gold Coast Knights in the Australia, Queensland NPL on 20 February 2026 at 10:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Moreton City Excelsior at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast Knights FAQs

4 questions

What time is Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast Knights?

Kickoff is 10:30 on 20 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast Knights?

Moreton City Excelsior is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.