Mortágua vs Leça Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mortágua

Sun, 20 Sept 202615:00

0 : 2

Full time

Leça

Pre-match win probability

17%Mortágua27.1%Draw55.9%Leça

Our prediction

Leça

Leça is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.6
Confidence55.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mortágua 17%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Leça 55.9%

Season statistics

Taça de Portugal · highlighted side is stronger

MortáguaLeça

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X34.1%
X265.9%

Match result

Mortágua5.25
Draw3.3
Leça1.6

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance34.1%
Odds2.2

X2

Chance65.9%
Odds1.14

Mortágua

Chance17%
Odds5.25

Draw

Chance27.1%
Odds3.3

Leça

Chance55.9%
Odds1.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Leça at 1.6

MortáguaLeça
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall23%77%

Mortágua vs Leça: prediction & preview

Portugal · Taça de Portugal · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Mortágua meet Leça in the Portugal, Taça de Portugal on 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leça at 1.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mortágua vs Leça FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mortágua vs Leça?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mortágua vs Leça?

Leça is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Mortágua vs Leça prediction, H2H and stats