Morton vs Dunfermline Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Scotland · ChampionshipTue, 17 Feb 2026

Morton

LDLLD

Tue, 17 Feb 202620:45

2 : 0

Full time

Dunfermline

DWLLD

Pre-match win probability

32.7%Morton29%Draw38.3%Dunfermline

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Morton

Morton vs Dunfermline listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence38.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Morton 32.7%
  • Draw 29%
  • Dunfermline 38.3%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

MortonDunfermline

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.9% · 1.073.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals16.7% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.2% · 2.314.6% · 1.6
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.5% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X47.6%
X252.4%

Match result

Morton2.75
Draw3.1
Dunfermline2.35

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance47.6%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance52.4%
Odds1.36

Morton

Chance32.7%
Odds2.75

Draw

Chance29%
Odds3.1

Dunfermline

Chance38.3%
Odds2.35

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.5

MortonDunfermline
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall46%54%

Morton vs Dunfermline: prediction & preview

Scotland · Championship · Tue, 17 Feb 2026

Morton meet Dunfermline in the Scotland, Championship on 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Dunfermline at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Morton vs Dunfermline FAQs

4 questions

What time is Morton vs Dunfermline?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 17 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Morton vs Dunfermline?

Dunfermline is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Morton vs Dunfermline prediction, H2H and stats