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Muangthong United vs BG Pathum United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Thailand · Thai League 1Fri, 1 May 2026

Muangthong United

Fri, 1 May 202613:00

1 : 1

Full time

BG Pathum United

Pre-match win probability

35.9%Muangthong United29.9%Draw34.2%BG Pathum United

Our prediction

Muangthong United

Muangthong United is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.5
Confidence35.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Muangthong United 35.9%
  • Draw 29.9%
  • BG Pathum United 34.2%

Season statistics

Thai League 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Muangthong UnitedBG Pathum United

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals18.8% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.7% · 1.8512% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.8% · 317.3% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X54.1%
X245.9%

Match result

Muangthong United2.5
Draw3
BG Pathum United2.62

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance54.1%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance45.9%
Odds1.53

Muangthong United

Chance35.9%
Odds2.5

Draw

Chance29.9%
Odds3

BG Pathum United

Chance34.2%
Odds2.62

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Muangthong United at 2.5

Muangthong UnitedBG Pathum United
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall51%49%

Muangthong United vs BG Pathum United: prediction & preview

Thailand · Thai League 1 · Fri, 1 May 2026

Muangthong United meet BG Pathum United in the Thailand, Thai League 1 on 1 May 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Muangthong United at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Muangthong United vs BG Pathum United FAQs

4 questions

What time is Muangthong United vs BG Pathum United?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 1 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Muangthong United vs BG Pathum United?

Muangthong United is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Muangthong United vs BG Pathum United prediction, H2H and stats