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MVV vs Heracles Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · Eerste DivisieSun, 18 Oct 2026

MVV

10th in table · 17 pts

LWLLD

Sun, 18 Oct 202615:45

1 : 5

Full time

Heracles

1st in table · 29 pts

LWDWD

Pre-match win probability

14.2%MVV20.6%Draw65.2%Heracles

Our prediction

Away · MVV

MVV vs Heracles listed tip from the board.

Odds1.42
Confidence65.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • MVV 14.2%
  • Draw 20.6%
  • Heracles 65.2%

Season statistics

Eerste Divisie · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MVVHeracles
Goals scored (avg)
12.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.80.9
Wins
59
Played
1212

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

MVV2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 23 OctDen Bosch2 – 2MVVD
  • 9 OctNAC Breda1 – 0MVVL
  • 3 OctFC OSS4 – 1MVVL
  • 26 SeptMVV2 – 0Helmond SportW
  • 18 SeptWaalwijk6 – 1MVVL
Heracles6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 23 OctNAC Breda1 – 1HeraclesD
  • 9 OctHeracles3 – 0WaalwijkW
  • 2 OctHelmond Sport2 – 2HeraclesD
  • 26 SeptHeracles2 – 0VitesseW
  • 18 SeptAlmere City FC1 – 0HeraclesL
H2H
Head to headMVV 0W · 1D · Heracles 1W · 3 goals a game
  • 13 FebMVV0 – 2Heracles
  • 29 AugHeracles2 – 2MVV

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.3% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
2.5 goals16.9% · 1.48.2% · 2.88
3.5 goals12.4% · 1.9113.1% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X29.8%
X270.2%

Match result

MVV6.5
Draw4.5
Heracles1.42

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance29.8%
Odds2.62

X2

Chance70.2%
Odds1.11

MVV

Chance14.2%
Odds6.5

Draw

Chance20.6%
Odds4.5

Heracles

Chance65.2%
Odds1.42

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.42

MVVHeracles
Recent form29%71%
Attack26%74%
Defence9%91%
Goals model26%74%
Head-to-head25%75%
Overall18%82%

Trends

Trend · Eerste Divisie

MVV scored 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eerste Divisie

MVV conceded 2.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eerste Divisie

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Eerste Divisie

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

MVV vs Heracles: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

MVV meet Heracles in the Netherlands, Eerste Divisie on 18 October 2026 at 15:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Heracles at 1.42. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

MVV vs Heracles FAQs

4 questions

What time is MVV vs Heracles?

Kickoff is 15:45 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on MVV vs Heracles?

Heracles is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.42. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.88.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.