Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Mineiro - 3Mon, 5 Oct 2026

Nacional AC MG

Mon, 5 Oct 202623:30

2 : 1

Live

Nova Lavras

Pre-match win probability

51%Nacional AC MG27.8%Draw21.2%Nova Lavras

Our prediction

Nacional AC MG

Nacional AC MG is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.8
Confidence51%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nacional AC MG 51%
  • Draw 27.8%
  • Nova Lavras 21.2%

Season statistics

Mineiro - 3 · highlighted side is stronger

Nacional AC MGNova Lavras

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals48.7% · 1.9551.3% · 1.85

Double chance

1X61.4%
X238.6%

Match result

Nacional AC MG1.8
Draw3.3
Nova Lavras4.33

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance61.4%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance38.6%
Odds1.91

Nacional AC MG

Chance51%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance27.8%
Odds3.3

Nova Lavras

Chance21.2%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Nacional AC MG at 1.8

Nacional AC MGNova Lavras
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras: prediction & preview

Brazil · Mineiro - 3 · Mon, 5 Oct 2026

Nacional AC MG meet Nova Lavras in the Brazil, Mineiro - 3 on 5 October 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nacional AC MG at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 5 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras?

Nacional AC MG is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 51%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras prediction, H2H and stats