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Nacional AC MG vs Santarritense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Mineiro - 3Mon, 21 Sept 2026

Nacional AC MG

3rd in table · 10 pts

WWLDD

Mon, 21 Sept 202623:30

2 : 0

Live

Santarritense

6th in table · 0 pts

LLLL

Pre-match win probability

65%Nacional AC MG20.7%Draw14.3%Santarritense

Our prediction

Nacional AC MG

Nacional AC MG is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.38
Confidence65%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nacional AC MG 65%
  • Draw 20.7%
  • Santarritense 14.3%

Season statistics

Mineiro - 3 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Nacional AC MGSantarritense
Goals scored (avg)
0.90.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
112.8
Wins
30
Played
55

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Nacional AC MG3W 4D 2L in last 9
  • 24 OctParacatu0 – 0Nacional AC MGD
  • 17 OctNacional AC MG1 – 1Venda NovaD
  • 10 OctNovo Esporte Clube1 – 0Nacional AC MGL
  • 5 OctNacional AC MG2 – 1Nova LavrasW
  • 25 SeptInter de Minas0 – 1Nacional AC MGW
Santarritense0W 0D 4L in last 4
  • 17 OctSantarritense1 – 23Novo Esporte ClubeL
  • 10 OctNova Lavras13 – 0SantarritenseL
  • 2 OctInter de Minas7 – 1SantarritenseL
  • 27 SeptSantarritense0 – 8Venda NovaL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals55.3% · 1.744.7% · 2.1

Double chance

1X71.8%
X228.2%

Match result

Nacional AC MG1.38
Draw4.33
Santarritense6.25

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance71.8%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance28.2%
Odds2.75

Nacional AC MG

Chance65%
Odds1.38

Draw

Chance20.7%
Odds4.33

Santarritense

Chance14.3%
Odds6.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Nacional AC MG at 1.38

Nacional AC MGSantarritense
Recent form93%7%
Attack64%36%
Defence95%5%
Goals model64%36%
Overall82%18%

Trends

Trend · Mineiro - 3

Nacional AC MG scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Mineiro - 3

Nacional AC MG conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Mineiro - 3

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Mineiro - 3

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Nacional AC MG vs Santarritense: prediction & preview

Brazil · Mineiro - 3 · Mon, 21 Sept 2026

Nacional AC MG meet Santarritense in the Brazil, Mineiro - 3 on 21 September 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nacional AC MG at 1.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nacional AC MG vs Santarritense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nacional AC MG vs Santarritense?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 21 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nacional AC MG vs Santarritense?

Nacional AC MG is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 65%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.