Nacional AC MG vs Venda Nova Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Mineiro - 3Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Nacional AC MG

Sat, 17 Oct 202619:00

1 : 1

Full time

Venda Nova

Pre-match win probability

41.4%Nacional AC MG26.2%Draw32.4%Venda Nova

Our prediction

Nacional AC MG

Nacional AC MG is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence41.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nacional AC MG 41.4%
  • Draw 26.2%
  • Venda Nova 32.4%

Season statistics

Mineiro - 3 · highlighted side is stronger

Nacional AC MGVenda Nova

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals47.4% · 252.6% · 1.8

Double chance

1X53.6%
X246.4%

Match result

Nacional AC MG2.15
Draw3.4
Venda Nova2.75

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

Nacional AC MG

Chance41.4%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance26.2%
Odds3.4

Venda Nova

Chance32.4%
Odds2.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Nacional AC MG at 2.15

Nacional AC MGVenda Nova
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall56%44%

Nacional AC MG vs Venda Nova: prediction & preview

Brazil · Mineiro - 3 · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Nacional AC MG meet Venda Nova in the Brazil, Mineiro - 3 on 17 October 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nacional AC MG at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nacional AC MG vs Venda Nova FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nacional AC MG vs Venda Nova?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nacional AC MG vs Venda Nova?

Nacional AC MG is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.