Get Premium

Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL SudamericanaThu, 5 Mar 2026

Nacional Asuncion

Thu, 5 Mar 202623:00

0 : 1

Live

Deportivo Recoleta

Pre-match win probability

51.3%Nacional Asuncion28.7%Draw20%Deportivo Recoleta

Our prediction

Nacional Asuncion

Nacional Asuncion is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.85
Confidence51.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nacional Asuncion 51.3%
  • Draw 28.7%
  • Deportivo Recoleta 20%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · highlighted side is stronger

Nacional AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X60.8%
X239.2%

Match result

Nacional Asuncion1.85
Draw3.3
Deportivo Recoleta4.75

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance60.8%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance39.2%
Odds1.83

Nacional Asuncion

Chance51.3%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance28.7%
Odds3.3

Deportivo Recoleta

Chance20%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Nacional Asuncion at 1.85

Nacional AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall72%28%

Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Thu, 5 Mar 2026

Nacional Asuncion meet Deportivo Recoleta in the World, CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 5 March 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nacional Asuncion at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 5 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Nacional Asuncion is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta prediction, H2H and stats