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Nacional vs Famalicao Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 19 Sept 2026

Nacional

LLLLW

Sat, 19 Sept 202615:30

0 : 4

Full time

Famalicao

DDDLL

Pre-match win probability

25.7%Nacional28%Draw46.4%Famalicao

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Nacional

Nacional vs Famalicao listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence46.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nacional 25.7%
  • Draw 28%
  • Famalicao 46.4%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

NacionalFamalicao

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X42.5%
X257.5%

Match result

Nacional3.7
Draw3.4
Famalicao2.05

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance42.5%
Odds1.73

X2

Chance57.5%
Odds1.28

Nacional

Chance25.7%
Odds3.7

Draw

Chance28%
Odds3.4

Famalicao

Chance46.4%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.28

NacionalFamalicao
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall36%64%

Nacional vs Famalicao: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

Nacional meet Famalicao in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 19 September 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Famalicao at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nacional vs Famalicao FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nacional vs Famalicao?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 19 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nacional vs Famalicao?

Famalicao is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Nacional vs Famalicao prediction, H2H and stats