Nacional vs FC Porto Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Nacional

Sun, 15 Feb 202616:30

0 : 1

Full time

FC Porto

Pre-match win probability

14.4%Nacional19.7%Draw65.9%FC Porto

Our prediction

Away · Nacional

Nacional vs FC Porto listed tip from the board.

Odds1.42
Confidence65.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nacional 14.4%
  • Draw 19.7%
  • FC Porto 65.9%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

NacionalFC Porto

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13.5% · 1.7511.5% · 2.05
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X28.8%
X271.2%

Match result

Nacional6.5
Draw4.75
FC Porto1.42

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance28.8%
Odds2.75

X2

Chance71.2%
Odds1.11

Nacional

Chance14.4%
Odds6.5

Draw

Chance19.7%
Odds4.75

FC Porto

Chance65.9%
Odds1.42

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.42

NacionalFC Porto
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall18%82%

Nacional vs FC Porto: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 15 Feb 2026

Nacional meet FC Porto in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 15 February 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC Porto at 1.42. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nacional vs FC Porto FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nacional vs FC Porto?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 15 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nacional vs FC Porto?

FC Porto is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.42. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Nacional vs FC Porto prediction, H2H and stats