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Nacional vs Tondela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaMon, 15 Dec 2025

Nacional

LLLDL

Mon, 15 Dec 202518:30

0 : 0

Live

Tondela

LWDLD

Pre-match win probability

39.7%Nacional30.1%Draw30.1%Tondela

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Nacional

Nacional vs Tondela listed tip from the board.

Odds1.57
Confidence39.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nacional 39.7%
  • Draw 30.1%
  • Tondela 30.1%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

NacionalTondela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X53.6%
X246.4%

Match result

Nacional2.35
Draw3.1
Tondela3.1

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

Nacional

Chance39.7%
Odds2.35

Draw

Chance30.1%
Odds3.1

Tondela

Chance30.1%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.57

NacionalTondela
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall57%43%

Nacional vs Tondela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Mon, 15 Dec 2025

Nacional meet Tondela in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 15 December 2025 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nacional at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nacional vs Tondela FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nacional vs Tondela?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 15 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nacional vs Tondela?

Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Nacional vs Tondela prediction, H2H and stats