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Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie AMon, 6 Apr 2026

Napoli

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Mon, 6 Apr 202619:45

1 : 0

Full time

AC Milan

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Pre-match win probability

38.4%Napoli31.3%Draw30.3%AC Milan

Our prediction

Home · Napoli

Napoli vs AC Milan listed tip from the board.

Odds2.45
Confidence38.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Napoli 38.4%
  • Draw 31.3%
  • AC Milan 30.3%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

NapoliAC Milan

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083.2% · 7.5
1.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.3% · 2.314.7% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.5% · 4.3319.5% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X52.9%
X247.1%

Match result

Napoli2.45
Draw3
AC Milan3.1

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

Napoli

Chance38.4%
Odds2.45

Draw

Chance31.3%
Odds3

AC Milan

Chance30.3%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.45

NapoliAC Milan
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall56%44%

Napoli vs AC Milan: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Mon, 6 Apr 2026

Napoli meet AC Milan in the Italy, Serie A on 6 April 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Napoli at 2.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Napoli vs AC Milan FAQs

4 questions

What time is Napoli vs AC Milan?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 6 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Napoli vs AC Milan?

Napoli is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Napoli vs AC Milan prediction, H2H and stats