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Napoli vs AS Roma Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 15 Feb 2026

Napoli

WLLWD

Sun, 15 Feb 202620:45

2 : 2

Full time

AS Roma

Pre-match win probability

37.3%Napoli33.9%Draw28.8%AS Roma

Our prediction

Napoli

Napoli is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.55
Confidence37.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Napoli 37.3%
  • Draw 33.9%
  • AS Roma 28.8%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NapoliAS Roma
Goals scored (avg)
1.6–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.7–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Napoli3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 24 OctNapoli3 – 3AS RomaD
  • 20 OctNapoli4 – 3Bodo/GlimtW
  • 17 OctVenezia1 – 0NapoliL
  • 13 OctVillarreal3 – 1NapoliL
  • 10 OctNapoli3 – 0FrosinoneW
AS Roma0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNapoli 4W · 4D · AS Roma 1W · 2.4 goals a game
    • 24 OctNapoli3 – 3AS Roma
    • 30 NovAS Roma0 – 1Napoli
    • 2 FebAS Roma1 – 1Napoli
    • 24 NovNapoli1 – 0AS Roma
    • 28 AprNapoli2 – 2AS Roma
    • 23 DecAS Roma2 – 0Napoli

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals20.8% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
    1.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.3% · 2.3
    2.5 goals7.9% · 316.9% · 1.4
    3.5 goals4.3% · 5.520.8% · 1.14

    Both teams to score

    Yes42.4%
    No57.6%

    Double chance

    1X52.4%
    X247.6%

    Match result

    Napoli2.55
    Draw2.8
    AS Roma3.3

    Both teams to score

    Yes42.4% · 2.2
    No57.6% · 1.62

    1X

    Chance52.4%
    Odds1.36

    X2

    Chance47.6%
    Odds1.5

    Napoli

    Chance37.3%
    Odds2.55

    Draw

    Chance33.9%
    Odds2.8

    AS Roma

    Chance28.8%
    Odds3.3

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Napoli at 2.55

    NapoliAS Roma
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack62%38%
    Defence57%43%
    Goals model62%38%
    Head-to-head67%33%
    Overall56%44%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie A

    Napoli scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Napoli conceded 1.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Napoli vs AS Roma: prediction & preview

    Italy · Serie A · Sun, 15 Feb 2026

    Napoli meet AS Roma in the Italy, Serie A on 15 February 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Napoli at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 68.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Napoli vs AS Roma FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Napoli vs AS Roma?

    Kickoff is 20:45 on 15 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Napoli vs AS Roma?

    Napoli is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 3 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.