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Napoli vs Chelsea Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueWed, 28 Jan 2026

Napoli

LDWDD

Wed, 28 Jan 202621:00

vs

Not started

Chelsea

WWWLW

Pre-match win probability

29.3%Napoli26.4%Draw44.3%Chelsea

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Napoli

Napoli vs Chelsea listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence44.3%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Napoli 29.3%
  • Draw 26.4%
  • Chelsea 44.3%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

NapoliChelsea

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X44.3%
X255.7%

Match result

Napoli3.25
Draw3.6
Chelsea2.15

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance44.3%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.7%
Odds1.33

Napoli

Chance29.3%
Odds3.25

Draw

Chance26.4%
Odds3.6

Chelsea

Chance44.3%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.33

NapoliChelsea
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall40%60%

Napoli vs Chelsea: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 28 Jan 2026

Napoli meet Chelsea in the World, UEFA Champions League on 28 January 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chelsea at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Napoli vs Chelsea FAQs

4 questions

What time is Napoli vs Chelsea?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 28 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Napoli vs Chelsea?

Chelsea is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Napoli vs Chelsea prediction, H2H and stats