Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASat, 31 Jan 2026

Napoli

LLDWD

Sat, 31 Jan 202618:00

2 : 1

Full time

Fiorentina

LLWDD

Pre-match win probability

47.1%Napoli30.4%Draw22.4%Fiorentina

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Napoli

Napoli vs Fiorentina listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence47.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Napoli 47.1%
  • Draw 30.4%
  • Fiorentina 22.4%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

NapoliFiorentina

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.3% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X60%
X240%

Match result

Napoli2
Draw3.1
Fiorentina4.2

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance60%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance40%
Odds1.8

Napoli

Chance47.1%
Odds2

Draw

Chance30.4%
Odds3.1

Fiorentina

Chance22.4%
Odds4.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.2

NapoliFiorentina
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall68%32%

Napoli vs Fiorentina: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sat, 31 Jan 2026

Napoli meet Fiorentina in the Italy, Serie A on 31 January 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Napoli at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Napoli vs Fiorentina FAQs

4 questions

What time is Napoli vs Fiorentina?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 31 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Napoli vs Fiorentina?

Napoli is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Napoli vs Fiorentina prediction, H2H and stats