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Napoli vs Lecce Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASat, 14 Mar 2026

Napoli

WWLDD

Sat, 14 Mar 202618:00

2 : 1

Full time

Lecce

WLLWW

Pre-match win probability

67.8%Napoli21.1%Draw11.2%Lecce

Our prediction

Draw · Napoli

Napoli vs Lecce listed tip from the board.

Odds4.5
Confidence67.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Napoli 67.8%
  • Draw 21.1%
  • Lecce 11.2%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

NapoliLecce

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.3% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.5% · 4.3319.5% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes35.5%
No64.5%

Double chance

1X73.5%
X226.5%

Match result

Napoli1.4
Draw4.5
Lecce8.5

Both teams to score

Yes35.5% · 2.62
No64.5% · 1.44

1X

Chance73.5%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance26.5%
Odds3

Napoli

Chance67.8%
Odds1.4

Draw

Chance21.1%
Odds4.5

Lecce

Chance11.2%
Odds8.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 4.5

NapoliLecce
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall86%14%

Napoli vs Lecce: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sat, 14 Mar 2026

Napoli meet Lecce in the Italy, Serie A on 14 March 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Napoli at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 67.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Napoli vs Lecce FAQs

4 questions

What time is Napoli vs Lecce?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 14 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Napoli vs Lecce?

Napoli is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 67.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Napoli vs Lecce prediction, H2H and stats