Napoli vs Sassuolo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASat, 17 Jan 2026

Napoli

DDDWW

Sat, 17 Jan 202618:00

1 : 0

Full time

Sassuolo

LLDDL

Pre-match win probability

63.9%Napoli22.5%Draw13.5%Sassuolo

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Napoli

Napoli vs Sassuolo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.1
Confidence63.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Napoli 63.9%
  • Draw 22.5%
  • Sassuolo 13.5%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

NapoliSassuolo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.3% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X70.4%
X229.6%

Match result

Napoli1.48
Draw4.2
Sassuolo7

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance70.4%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance29.6%
Odds2.62

Napoli

Chance63.9%
Odds1.48

Draw

Chance22.5%
Odds4.2

Sassuolo

Chance13.5%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.1

NapoliSassuolo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall83%17%

Napoli vs Sassuolo: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sat, 17 Jan 2026

Napoli meet Sassuolo in the Italy, Serie A on 17 January 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Napoli at 1.48. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 63.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Napoli vs Sassuolo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Napoli vs Sassuolo?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 17 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Napoli vs Sassuolo?

Napoli is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.48. The margin-adjusted share is about 63.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Napoli vs Sassuolo prediction, H2H and stats