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Navalcarnero vs Real Madrid III Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Sun, 1 Mar 2026

Navalcarnero

10th in table · 43 pts

LWDLL

Sun, 1 Mar 202612:00

2 : 0

Full time

Real Madrid III

13th in table · 40 pts

LDDDL

Pre-match win probability

44.8%Navalcarnero28%Draw27.2%Real Madrid III

Our prediction

Draw · Navalcarnero

Navalcarnero vs Real Madrid III listed tip from the board.

Odds3.2
Confidence44.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Navalcarnero 44.8%
  • Draw 28%
  • Real Madrid III 27.2%

Season statistics

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · highlighted side is stronger

NavalcarneroReal Madrid III
Goals scored (avg)
–0.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–0.7
Wins
1111
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Navalcarnero0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Real Madrid III1W 5D 3L in last 9
    • 25 OctReal Madrid III0 – 2ConquenseL
    • 18 OctRSD Alcalá0 – 0Real Madrid IIID
    • 11 OctReal Madrid III0 – 0Atlético TordesillasD
    • 7 OctReal Madrid III1 – 1GuadalajaraD
    • 3 OctAtlético Paso1 – 0Real Madrid IIIL
    H2H
    Head to headNavalcarnero 1W · 2D · Real Madrid III 0W · 1.7 goals a game
    • 21 DecReal Madrid III1 – 1Navalcarnero
    • 19 JanReal Madrid III0 – 0Navalcarnero
    • 7 SeptNavalcarnero2 – 1Real Madrid III

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals44.7% · 2.155.3% · 1.7

    Double chance

    1X57.2%
    X242.8%

    Match result

    Navalcarnero2
    Draw3.2
    Real Madrid III3.3

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance57.2%
    Odds1.25

    X2

    Chance42.8%
    Odds1.67

    Navalcarnero

    Chance44.8%
    Odds2

    Draw

    Chance28%
    Odds3.2

    Real Madrid III

    Chance27.2%
    Odds3.3

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Draw at 3.2

    NavalcarneroReal Madrid III
    Recent form11%89%
    Attack83%17%
    Defence30%70%
    Goals model83%17%
    Head-to-head67%33%
    Overall62%38%

    Trends

    Trend · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

    Real Madrid III scored 0.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

    Real Madrid III conceded 0.7 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

    Failed to score in 7 of those 9.

    Trend · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

    Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 9.

    Navalcarnero vs Real Madrid III: prediction & preview

    Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Sun, 1 Mar 2026

    Navalcarnero meet Real Madrid III in the Spain, Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on 1 March 2026 at 12:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Navalcarnero at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Navalcarnero vs Real Madrid III FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Navalcarnero vs Real Madrid III?

    Kickoff is 12:00 on 1 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Navalcarnero vs Real Madrid III?

    Navalcarnero is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.8%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.