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Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Copa FederacionWed, 30 Sept 2026

Navalcarnero

WDDDW

Wed, 30 Sept 202619:00

3 : 1

Full time

Real Murcia

Pre-match win probability

27.3%Navalcarnero26.5%Draw46.2%Real Murcia

Our prediction

Real Murcia

Real Murcia is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.95
Confidence46.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Navalcarnero 27.3%
  • Draw 26.5%
  • Real Murcia 46.2%

Season statistics

Copa Federacion · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NavalcarneroReal Murcia
Goals scored (avg)
2.1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.4–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Navalcarnero4W 4D 1L in last 9
  • 24 OctNumancia2 – 3NavalcarneroW
  • 18 OctSalamanca UDS1 – 1NavalcarneroD
  • 14 OctRecreativo Huelva2 – 2NavalcarneroD
  • 11 OctNavalcarnero1 – 1A Madrid IIID
  • 4 OctRSD Alcalá1 – 3NavalcarneroW
Real Murcia0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals50% · 1.950% · 1.9

    Double chance

    1X38.2%
    X261.8%

    Match result

    Navalcarnero3.3
    Draw3.4
    Real Murcia1.95

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance38.2%
    Odds1.91

    X2

    Chance61.8%
    Odds1.18

    Navalcarnero

    Chance27.3%
    Odds3.3

    Draw

    Chance26.5%
    Odds3.4

    Real Murcia

    Chance46.2%
    Odds1.95

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Real Murcia at 1.95

    NavalcarneroReal Murcia
    Recent form94%6%
    Attack68%32%
    Defence62%38%
    Goals model68%32%
    Overall37%63%

    Trends

    Trend · Copa Federacion

    Navalcarnero scored 2.1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Copa Federacion

    Navalcarnero conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Copa Federacion

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · Copa Federacion

    Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

    Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia: prediction & preview

    Spain · Copa Federacion · Wed, 30 Sept 2026

    Navalcarnero meet Real Murcia in the Spain, Copa Federacion on 30 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Murcia at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia?

    Kickoff is 19:00 on 30 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia?

    Real Murcia is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.2%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

    Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia prediction, H2H and stats