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NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSat, 20 Dec 2025

NEC Nijmegen

DDDWD

Sat, 20 Dec 202520:00

2 : 2

Full time

Ajax

DLWWW

Pre-match win probability

44.7%NEC Nijmegen22.9%Draw32.4%Ajax

Our prediction

Draw · NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax listed tip from the board.

Odds4.1
Confidence44.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • NEC Nijmegen 44.7%
  • Draw 22.9%
  • Ajax 32.4%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NEC NijmegenAjax
Goals scored (avg)
1.42.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.21.3

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

NEC Nijmegen1W 6D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctNEC Nijmegen2 – 2GroningenD
  • 22 OctDinamo Zagreb2 – 4NEC NijmegenW
  • 18 OctNEC Nijmegen2 – 2Fortuna SittardD
  • 15 OctNEC Nijmegen1 – 1Levski SofiaD
  • 10 OctAjax1 – 1NEC NijmegenD
Ajax6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 25 OctSparta Rotterdam1 – 2AjaxW
  • 22 OctAjax2 – 0AtalantaW
  • 18 OctGroningen2 – 5AjaxW
  • 15 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 – 1AjaxL
  • 10 OctAjax1 – 1NEC NijmegenD
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
2.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.7% · 2.7
3.5 goals11.8% · 213.6% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X54.8%
X245.2%

Match result

NEC Nijmegen2.1
Draw4.1
Ajax2.9

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance54.8%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance45.2%
Odds1.7

NEC Nijmegen

Chance44.7%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance22.9%
Odds4.1

Ajax

Chance32.4%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 4.1

NEC NijmegenAjax
Recent form31%69%
Attack33%67%
Defence32%68%
Goals model33%67%
Overall58%42%

Trends

Trend · Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen scored 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen conceded 2.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Eredivisie

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Eredivisie

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 10.

NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 20 Dec 2025

NEC Nijmegen meet Ajax in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 20 December 2025 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is NEC Nijmegen at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax FAQs

4 questions

What time is NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 20 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax?

NEC Nijmegen is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.