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Necaxa vs Cruz Azul Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSat, 29 Aug 2026

Necaxa

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Sat, 29 Aug 202602:00

1 : 3

Full time

Cruz Azul

LLLWW

Pre-match win probability

25.8%Necaxa26.5%Draw47.7%Cruz Azul

Our prediction

Draw · Necaxa

Necaxa vs Cruz Azul listed tip from the board.

Odds3.6
Confidence47.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Necaxa 25.8%
  • Draw 26.5%
  • Cruz Azul 47.7%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

NecaxaCruz Azul

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X41.6%
X258.4%

Match result

Necaxa3.7
Draw3.6
Cruz Azul2

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance41.6%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance58.4%
Odds1.28

Necaxa

Chance25.8%
Odds3.7

Draw

Chance26.5%
Odds3.6

Cruz Azul

Chance47.7%
Odds2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.6

NecaxaCruz Azul
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall35%65%

Necaxa vs Cruz Azul: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sat, 29 Aug 2026

Necaxa meet Cruz Azul in the Mexico, Liga MX on 29 August 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Cruz Azul at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Necaxa vs Cruz Azul FAQs

4 questions

What time is Necaxa vs Cruz Azul?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 29 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Necaxa vs Cruz Azul?

Cruz Azul is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.