Necaxa vs Leon Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXTue, 18 Aug 2026

Necaxa

Tue, 18 Aug 202602:00

1 : 2

Full time

Leon

Pre-match win probability

35%Necaxa28.6%Draw36.4%Leon

Our prediction

Leon

Leon is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.6
Confidence36.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Necaxa 35%
  • Draw 28.6%
  • Leon 36.4%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

NecaxaLeon

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X51%
X249%

Match result

Necaxa2.7
Draw3.3
Leon2.6

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance51%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance49%
Odds1.5

Necaxa

Chance35%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance28.6%
Odds3.3

Leon

Chance36.4%
Odds2.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Leon at 2.6

NecaxaLeon
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall49%51%

Necaxa vs Leon: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Tue, 18 Aug 2026

Necaxa meet Leon in the Mexico, Liga MX on 18 August 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leon at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Necaxa vs Leon FAQs

4 questions

What time is Necaxa vs Leon?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 18 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Necaxa vs Leon?

Leon is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Necaxa vs Leon prediction, H2H and stats