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Necaxa vs Puebla Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSat, 12 Sept 2026

Necaxa

DLDLW

Sat, 12 Sept 202602:00

0 : 1

Full time

Puebla

LWWLL

Pre-match win probability

47.1%Necaxa25.1%Draw27.7%Puebla

Our prediction

Draw · Necaxa

Necaxa vs Puebla listed tip from the board.

Odds3.75
Confidence47.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Necaxa 47.1%
  • Draw 25.1%
  • Puebla 27.7%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

NecaxaPuebla

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711% · 2.15
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X58.1%
X241.9%

Match result

Necaxa2
Draw3.75
Puebla3.4

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance58.1%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance41.9%
Odds1.8

Necaxa

Chance47.1%
Odds2

Draw

Chance25.1%
Odds3.75

Puebla

Chance27.7%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.75

NecaxaPuebla
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall63%37%

Necaxa vs Puebla: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Necaxa meet Puebla in the Mexico, Liga MX on 12 September 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Necaxa at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Necaxa vs Puebla FAQs

4 questions

What time is Necaxa vs Puebla?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Necaxa vs Puebla?

Necaxa is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Necaxa vs Puebla prediction, H2H and stats