Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Neftchi Baku

Sun, 26 Apr 202616:00

1 : 5

Full time

Qarabag

Pre-match win probability

25.7%Neftchi Baku24.3%Draw50%Qarabag

Our prediction

Qarabag

Qarabag is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.8
Confidence50%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Neftchi Baku 25.7%
  • Draw 24.3%
  • Qarabag 50%

Season statistics

Premyer Liqa · highlighted side is stronger

Neftchi BakuQarabag

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals59.9% · 1.5740.1% · 2.35

Double chance

1X41%
X259%

Match result

Neftchi Baku3.5
Draw3.7
Qarabag1.8

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance41%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance59%
Odds1.25

Neftchi Baku

Chance25.7%
Odds3.5

Draw

Chance24.3%
Odds3.7

Qarabag

Chance50%
Odds1.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Qarabag at 1.8

Neftchi BakuQarabag
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall34%66%

Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag: prediction & preview

Azerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · Sun, 26 Apr 2026

Neftchi Baku meet Qarabag in the Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa on 26 April 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Qarabag at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag FAQs

4 questions

What time is Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 26 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?

Qarabag is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 50%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag prediction, H2H and stats