Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Neftchi Baku

LDWWW

Thu, 30 Apr 202617:00

2 : 1

Full time

Qarabag

WLLDW

Pre-match win probability

19.9%Neftchi Baku23%Draw57.1%Qarabag

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Neftchi Baku

Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence57.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Neftchi Baku 19.9%
  • Draw 23%
  • Qarabag 57.1%

Season statistics

Premyer Liqa · highlighted side is stronger

Neftchi BakuQarabag

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals53.9% · 1.7546.1% · 2.05

Double chance

1X37.7%
X262.3%

Match result

Neftchi Baku4.5
Draw3.9
Qarabag1.57

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance37.7%
Odds1.95

X2

Chance62.3%
Odds1.18

Neftchi Baku

Chance19.9%
Odds4.5

Draw

Chance23%
Odds3.9

Qarabag

Chance57.1%
Odds1.57

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.18

Neftchi BakuQarabag
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall26%74%

Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag: prediction & preview

Azerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · Thu, 30 Apr 2026

Neftchi Baku meet Qarabag in the Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa on 30 April 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Qarabag at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag FAQs

4 questions

What time is Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 30 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?

Qarabag is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag prediction, H2H and stats