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Neftchi Baku vs Safa Baku Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Azerbaijan · Premyer LiqaSat, 5 Sept 2026

Neftchi Baku

Sat, 5 Sept 202617:30

4 : 1

Full time

Safa Baku

Pre-match win probability

73.2%Neftchi Baku17.9%Draw8.9%Safa Baku

Our prediction

Neftchi Baku

Neftchi Baku is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.22
Confidence73.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Neftchi Baku 73.2%
  • Draw 17.9%
  • Safa Baku 8.9%

Season statistics

Premyer Liqa · highlighted side is stronger

Neftchi BakuSafa Baku

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.032.3% · 10
1.5 goals20% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.4% · 1.6210.4% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.6% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X77.8%
X222.2%

Match result

Neftchi Baku1.22
Draw5
Safa Baku10

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance77.8%
Odds1.03

X2

Chance22.2%
Odds3.6

Neftchi Baku

Chance73.2%
Odds1.22

Draw

Chance17.9%
Odds5

Safa Baku

Chance8.9%
Odds10

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Neftchi Baku at 1.22

Neftchi BakuSafa Baku
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall89%11%

Neftchi Baku vs Safa Baku: prediction & preview

Azerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Neftchi Baku meet Safa Baku in the Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa on 5 September 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Neftchi Baku at 1.22. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 73.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Neftchi Baku vs Safa Baku FAQs

4 questions

What time is Neftchi Baku vs Safa Baku?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Neftchi Baku vs Safa Baku?

Neftchi Baku is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.22. The margin-adjusted share is about 73.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Neftchi Baku vs Safa Baku prediction, H2H and stats