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Negelle Arsi vs Dire Dawa Kenema Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ethiopia · Premier LeagueMon, 11 May 2026

Negelle Arsi

Mon, 11 May 202614:00

3 : 0

Full time

Dire Dawa Kenema

Pre-match win probability

44.2%Negelle Arsi31.3%Draw24.5%Dire Dawa Kenema

Our prediction

Negelle Arsi

Negelle Arsi is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence44.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Negelle Arsi 44.2%
  • Draw 31.3%
  • Dire Dawa Kenema 24.5%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

Negelle ArsiDire Dawa Kenema

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals31.2% · 368.8% · 1.36

Double chance

1X57.8%
X242.2%

Match result

Negelle Arsi2.05
Draw2.9
Dire Dawa Kenema3.7

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance57.8%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance42.2%
Odds1.67

Negelle Arsi

Chance44.2%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance31.3%
Odds2.9

Dire Dawa Kenema

Chance24.5%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Negelle Arsi at 2.05

Negelle ArsiDire Dawa Kenema
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall64%36%

Negelle Arsi vs Dire Dawa Kenema: prediction & preview

Ethiopia · Premier League · Mon, 11 May 2026

Negelle Arsi meet Dire Dawa Kenema in the Ethiopia, Premier League on 11 May 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Negelle Arsi at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.36, about 68.8% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Negelle Arsi vs Dire Dawa Kenema FAQs

4 questions

What time is Negelle Arsi vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 11 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Negelle Arsi vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Negelle Arsi is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 3 and under 2.5 is 1.36.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Negelle Arsi vs Dire Dawa Kenema prediction, H2H and stats