Netherlands vs Japan Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · World CupSun, 14 Jun 2026

Netherlands

WLDW

Sun, 14 Jun 202621:00

2 : 2

Full time

Japan

WWWWL

Pre-match win probability

46.4%Netherlands27.2%Draw26.4%Japan

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Netherlands

Netherlands vs Japan listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence46.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Netherlands 46.4%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • Japan 26.4%

Season statistics

World Cup · highlighted side is stronger

NetherlandsJapan

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.062.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.3% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X57.5%
X242.5%

Match result

Netherlands2.05
Draw3.5
Japan3.6

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance57.5%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance42.5%
Odds1.73

Netherlands

Chance46.4%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance27.2%
Odds3.5

Japan

Chance26.4%
Odds3.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

NetherlandsJapan
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall64%36%

Netherlands vs Japan: prediction & preview

World · World Cup · Sun, 14 Jun 2026

Netherlands meet Japan in the World, World Cup on 14 June 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Netherlands at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Netherlands vs Japan FAQs

4 questions

What time is Netherlands vs Japan?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 14 June 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Netherlands vs Japan?

Netherlands is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Netherlands vs Japan prediction, H2H and stats