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Netherlands vs Sweden Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · World CupSat, 20 Jun 2026

Netherlands

1st in table · 7 pts

DDWDW

Sat, 20 Jun 202618:00

5 : 1

Full time

Sweden

3rd in table · 4 pts

LWWDW

Pre-match win probability

55%Netherlands23.8%Draw21.2%Sweden

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Netherlands

Netherlands vs Sweden listed tip from the board.

Odds1.73
Confidence55%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Netherlands 55%
  • Draw 23.8%
  • Sweden 21.2%

Season statistics

World Cup · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NetherlandsSweden
Goals scored (avg)
1.71.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.4
Wins
21
Played
33

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Netherlands4W 4D 1L in last 9
  • 4 OctNetherlands2 – 1SerbiaW
  • 1 OctGreece2 – 2NetherlandsD
  • 27 SeptSerbia1 – 2NetherlandsW
  • 24 SeptNetherlands1 – 1GermanyD
  • 30 JunNetherlands1 – 1MoroccoD
Sweden4W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 5 OctRomania0 – 1SwedenW
  • 2 OctBosnia & Herzegovina1 – 1SwedenD
  • 28 SeptSweden3 – 1PolandW
  • 25 SeptSweden2 – 1RomaniaW
  • 30 JunFrance3 – 0SwedenL
H2H
Head to headNetherlands 1W · 1D · Sweden 0W · 2 goals a game
  • 10 OctNetherlands2 – 0Sweden
  • 6 SeptSweden1 – 1Netherlands

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.4% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X64%
X236%

Match result

Netherlands1.73
Draw4
Sweden4.5

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance64%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36%
Odds2.1

Netherlands

Chance55%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance23.8%
Odds4

Sweden

Chance21.2%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.73

NetherlandsSweden
Recent form52%48%
Attack49%51%
Defence53%47%
Goals model49%51%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall72%28%

Trends

Trend · World Cup

Netherlands scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · World Cup

Netherlands conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · World Cup

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · World Cup

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

Netherlands vs Sweden: prediction & preview

World · World Cup · Sat, 20 Jun 2026

Netherlands meet Sweden in the World, World Cup on 20 June 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Netherlands at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Netherlands vs Sweden FAQs

4 questions

What time is Netherlands vs Sweden?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 20 June 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Netherlands vs Sweden?

Netherlands is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 55%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.