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New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 10 May 2026

New Mexico United

DWLWL

Sun, 10 May 202602:00

3 : 1

Full time

Las Vegas Lights

WDLDL

Pre-match win probability

52%New Mexico United25%Draw23.1%Las Vegas Lights

Our prediction

1X · New Mexico United

New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence52%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • New Mexico United 52%
  • Draw 25%
  • Las Vegas Lights 23.1%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

New Mexico UnitedLas Vegas Lights

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.711.1% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X61.8%
X238.2%

Match result

New Mexico United1.73
Draw3.6
Las Vegas Lights3.9

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance61.8%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance38.2%
Odds1.91

New Mexico United

Chance52%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.6

Las Vegas Lights

Chance23.1%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.18

New Mexico UnitedLas Vegas Lights
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall69%31%

New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 10 May 2026

New Mexico United meet Las Vegas Lights in the USA, USL Championship on 10 May 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is New Mexico United at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights FAQs

4 questions

What time is New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 10 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights?

New Mexico United is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 52%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights prediction, H2H and stats