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New Mexico United vs Lexington Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipThu, 27 Aug 2026

New Mexico United

DWWWD

Thu, 27 Aug 202602:30

2 : 1

Full time

Lexington

WLWWD

Pre-match win probability

36.8%New Mexico United25.7%Draw37.5%Lexington

Our prediction

Home or Draw · New Mexico United

New Mexico United vs Lexington listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence37.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • New Mexico United 36.8%
  • Draw 25.7%
  • Lexington 37.5%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

New Mexico UnitedLexington

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.5% · 1.7311.2% · 2.08
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X49%
X251%

Match result

New Mexico United2.45
Draw3.5
Lexington2.4

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance49%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51%
Odds1.44

New Mexico United

Chance36.8%
Odds2.45

Draw

Chance25.7%
Odds3.5

Lexington

Chance37.5%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.5

New Mexico UnitedLexington
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall50%50%

New Mexico United vs Lexington: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Thu, 27 Aug 2026

New Mexico United meet Lexington in the USA, USL Championship on 27 August 2026 at 02:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lexington at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

New Mexico United vs Lexington FAQs

4 questions

What time is New Mexico United vs Lexington?

Kickoff is 02:30 on 27 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on New Mexico United vs Lexington?

Lexington is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

New Mexico United vs Lexington prediction, H2H and stats