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New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 11 Oct 2026

New Mexico United

WLLDD

Sun, 11 Oct 202602:00

3 : 1

Full time

Monterey Bay

WLLDD

Pre-match win probability

56.8%New Mexico United22.2%Draw21%Monterey Bay

Our prediction

Home or Draw · New Mexico United

New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence56.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • New Mexico United 56.8%
  • Draw 22.2%
  • Monterey Bay 21%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

New Mexico UnitedMonterey Bay

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.022.2% · 10.5
1.5 goals20.4% · 1.144.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.5% · 1.59.3% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.6% · 2.214.4% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X65.3%
X234.7%

Match result

New Mexico United1.6
Draw4.1
Monterey Bay4.33

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance65.3%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance34.7%
Odds2.15

New Mexico United

Chance56.8%
Odds1.6

Draw

Chance22.2%
Odds4.1

Monterey Bay

Chance21%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.14

New Mexico UnitedMonterey Bay
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall73%27%

New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

New Mexico United meet Monterey Bay in the USA, USL Championship on 11 October 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is New Mexico United at 1.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay FAQs

4 questions

What time is New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay?

New Mexico United is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay prediction, H2H and stats