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New Mexico United vs Orange County SC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 12 Oct 2025

New Mexico United

3rd in table · 48 pts

LWWLW

Sun, 12 Oct 202502:00

3 : 3

Full time

Orange County SC

7th in table · 39 pts

WLLLL

Pre-match win probability

46%New Mexico United27.1%Draw26.9%Orange County SC

Our prediction

New Mexico United

New Mexico United is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.01
Confidence46%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • New Mexico United 46%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Orange County SC 26.9%

Season statistics

USL Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

New Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
Goals scored (avg)
1.60.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.42.4
Wins
1410
Played
3030

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

New Mexico United4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctEl Paso Locomotive0 – 1New Mexico UnitedW
  • 18 OctSan Antonio1 – 0New Mexico UnitedL
  • 11 OctNew Mexico United3 – 1Monterey BayW
  • 4 OctNew Mexico United2 – 1Phoenix RisingW
  • 1 OctFC Tulsa1 – 0New Mexico UnitedL
Orange County SC1W 2D 7L in last 10
  • 25 OctSan Antonio2 – 1Orange County SCL
  • 18 OctOrange County SC1 – 3Phoenix RisingL
  • 11 OctEl Paso Locomotive2 – 1Orange County SCL
  • 4 OctOrange County SC1 – 2Monterey BayL
  • 27 SeptOrange County SC1 – 0Pittsburgh RiverhoundsW
H2H
Head to headNew Mexico United 6W · 2D · Orange County SC 1W · 2.1 goals a game
  • 14 JunNew Mexico United1 – 1Orange County SC
  • 5 AprOrange County SC0 – 1New Mexico United
  • 9 NovNew Mexico United2 – 1Orange County SC
  • 18 MayOrange County SC0 – 3New Mexico United
  • 20 OctOrange County SC0 – 0New Mexico United
  • 4 JulNew Mexico United2 – 0Orange County SC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%3.2% · 9.3
1.5 goals24.1% · 1.228.4% · 3.5
2.5 goals16.6% · 1.7715.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals10.6% · 2.7822% · 1.34

Both teams to score

Yes56.1%
No43.9%

Double chance

1X57.7%
X242.3%

Match result

New Mexico United2.01
Draw3.42
Orange County SC3.44

Both teams to score

Yes56.1% · 1.64
No43.9% · 2.1

1X

Chance57.7%
Odds1.26

X2

Chance42.3%
Odds1.72

New Mexico United

Chance46%
Odds2.01

Draw

Chance27.1%
Odds3.42

Orange County SC

Chance26.9%
Odds3.44

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: New Mexico United at 2.01

New Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
Recent form75%25%
Attack67%33%
Defence73%27%
Goals model67%33%
Head-to-head78%22%
Overall63%37%

Trends

Trend · USL Championship

New Mexico United scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL Championship

New Mexico United conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

New Mexico United vs Orange County SC: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 12 Oct 2025

New Mexico United meet Orange County SC in the USA, USL Championship on 12 October 2025 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is New Mexico United at 2.01. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.77, about 52.4% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.64.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

New Mexico United vs Orange County SC FAQs

4 questions

What time is New Mexico United vs Orange County SC?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 12 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on New Mexico United vs Orange County SC?

New Mexico United is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.01. The margin-adjusted share is about 46%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.77 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.64. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.