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New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 4 Oct 2026

New Mexico United

Sun, 4 Oct 202623:00

1 : 1

Live

Phoenix Rising

Pre-match win probability

42.3%New Mexico United25.3%Draw32.5%Phoenix Rising

Our prediction

New Mexico United

New Mexico United is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence42.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • New Mexico United 42.3%
  • Draw 25.3%
  • Phoenix Rising 32.5%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.022.2% · 10.5
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.9% · 1.579.9% · 2.35
3.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.2% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X54.1%
X245.9%

Match result

New Mexico United2.15
Draw3.6
Phoenix Rising2.8

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance54.1%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance45.9%
Odds1.57

New Mexico United

Chance42.3%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance25.3%
Odds3.6

Phoenix Rising

Chance32.5%
Odds2.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: New Mexico United at 2.15

New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall57%43%

New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

New Mexico United meet Phoenix Rising in the USA, USL Championship on 4 October 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is New Mexico United at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising FAQs

4 questions

What time is New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?

New Mexico United is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising prediction, H2H and stats