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New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 27 Sept 2026

New Mexico United

DDDWL

Sun, 27 Sept 202602:00

2 : 3

Full time

Sacramento Republic

DWDDD

Pre-match win probability

28.1%New Mexico United25.7%Draw46.2%Sacramento Republic

Our prediction

Away or Draw · New Mexico United

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence46.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • New Mexico United 28.1%
  • Draw 25.7%
  • Sacramento Republic 46.2%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

New Mexico UnitedSacramento Republic

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals18.8% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.7% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.2% · 3.2517.7% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X43%
X257%

Match result

New Mexico United3.2
Draw3.5
Sacramento Republic1.95

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance43%
Odds1.7

X2

Chance57%
Odds1.28

New Mexico United

Chance28.1%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance25.7%
Odds3.5

Sacramento Republic

Chance46.2%
Odds1.95

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.28

New Mexico UnitedSacramento Republic
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall38%62%

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 27 Sept 2026

New Mexico United meet Sacramento Republic in the USA, USL Championship on 27 September 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sacramento Republic at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic FAQs

4 questions

What time is New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 27 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic?

Sacramento Republic is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic prediction, H2H and stats