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New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipThu, 21 May 2026

New Mexico United

Thu, 21 May 202602:00

0 : 1

Full time

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Pre-match win probability

27.7%New Mexico United24.4%Draw47.9%Tampa Bay Rowdies

Our prediction

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Tampa Bay Rowdies is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.91
Confidence47.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • New Mexico United 27.7%
  • Draw 24.4%
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies 47.9%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

New Mexico UnitedTampa Bay Rowdies

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.3% · 10
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.5% · 1.6210.4% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.6% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X44%
X256%

Match result

New Mexico United3.3
Draw3.75
Tampa Bay Rowdies1.91

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance44%
Odds1.73

X2

Chance56%
Odds1.36

New Mexico United

Chance27.7%
Odds3.3

Draw

Chance24.4%
Odds3.75

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Chance47.9%
Odds1.91

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Tampa Bay Rowdies at 1.91

New Mexico UnitedTampa Bay Rowdies
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall37%63%

New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Thu, 21 May 2026

New Mexico United meet Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USA, USL Championship on 21 May 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tampa Bay Rowdies at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies FAQs

4 questions

What time is New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 21 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Tampa Bay Rowdies is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies prediction, H2H and stats