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Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueFri, 24 Oct 2025

Newcastle Jets

Fri, 24 Oct 202509:35

5 : 2

Full time

Melbourne Victory

Pre-match win probability

32%Newcastle Jets24.6%Draw43.3%Melbourne Victory

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory listed tip from the board.

Odds1.38
Confidence43.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Newcastle Jets 32%
  • Draw 24.6%
  • Melbourne Victory 43.3%

Season statistics

A-League · highlighted side is stronger

Newcastle JetsMelbourne Victory

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.021.2% · 20
1.5 goals20.9% · 1.114.7% · 4.9
2.5 goals16.1% · 1.449.5% · 2.44
3.5 goals10.4% · 2.2314.3% · 1.63

Both teams to score

Yes64.8%
No35.2%

Double chance

1X45.4%
X254.6%

Match result

Newcastle Jets2.92
Draw3.8
Melbourne Victory2.16

Both teams to score

Yes64.8% · 1.43
No35.2% · 2.63

1X

Chance45.4%
Odds1.66

X2

Chance54.6%
Odds1.38

Newcastle Jets

Chance32%
Odds2.92

Draw

Chance24.6%
Odds3.8

Melbourne Victory

Chance43.3%
Odds2.16

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.38

Newcastle JetsMelbourne Victory
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall42%58%

Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory: prediction & preview

Australia · A-League · Fri, 24 Oct 2025

Newcastle Jets meet Melbourne Victory in the Australia, A-League on 24 October 2025 at 09:35 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne Victory at 2.16. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 62.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.43.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory FAQs

4 questions

What time is Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory?

Kickoff is 09:35 on 24 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory?

Melbourne Victory is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.16. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.43. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory prediction, H2H and stats