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Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueFri, 23 Jan 2026

Newcastle Jets

Fri, 23 Jan 202609:35

4 : 1

Full time

Wellington Phoenix

Pre-match win probability

57.1%Newcastle Jets19.9%Draw23%Wellington Phoenix

Our prediction

Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.65
Confidence57.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Newcastle Jets 57.1%
  • Draw 19.9%
  • Wellington Phoenix 23%

Season statistics

A-League · highlighted side is stronger

Newcastle JetsWellington Phoenix

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.6% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals21.7% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals18% · 1.337% · 3.4
3.5 goals13.3% · 1.811.9% · 2

Both teams to score

Yes66.3%
No33.7%

Double chance

1X64.3%
X235.7%

Match result

Newcastle Jets1.65
Draw4.75
Wellington Phoenix4.1

Both teams to score

Yes66.3% · 1.4
No33.7% · 2.75

1X

Chance64.3%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance35.7%
Odds2.2

Newcastle Jets

Chance57.1%
Odds1.65

Draw

Chance19.9%
Odds4.75

Wellington Phoenix

Chance23%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Newcastle Jets at 1.65

Newcastle JetsWellington Phoenix
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix: prediction & preview

Australia · A-League · Fri, 23 Jan 2026

Newcastle Jets meet Wellington Phoenix in the Australia, A-League on 23 January 2026 at 09:35 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Newcastle Jets at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix FAQs

4 questions

What time is Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?

Kickoff is 09:35 on 23 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?

Newcastle Jets is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix prediction, H2H and stats