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Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSat, 17 Oct 2026

Newcastle

LWLWD

Sat, 17 Oct 202617:30

0 : 1

Full time

Aston Villa

WDWWW

Pre-match win probability

39.4%Newcastle26.3%Draw34.4%Aston Villa

Our prediction

Away · Newcastle

Newcastle vs Aston Villa listed tip from the board.

Odds2.75
Confidence39.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Newcastle 39.4%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Aston Villa 34.4%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

NewcastleAston Villa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X54.4%
X245.6%

Match result

Newcastle2.4
Draw3.6
Aston Villa2.75

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance54.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance45.6%
Odds1.62

Newcastle

Chance39.4%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Aston Villa

Chance34.4%
Odds2.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.75

NewcastleAston Villa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall53%47%

Newcastle vs Aston Villa: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Newcastle meet Aston Villa in the England, Premier League on 17 October 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Newcastle at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Newcastle vs Aston Villa?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Newcastle vs Aston Villa?

Newcastle is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction, H2H and stats