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Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · FA CupSat, 10 Jan 2026

Newcastle

WWWLD

Sat, 10 Jan 202616:00

3 : 3

Full time

Bournemouth

WLDLD

Pre-match win probability

55.3%Newcastle22.4%Draw22.4%Bournemouth

Our prediction

Home · Newcastle

Newcastle vs Bournemouth listed tip from the board.

Odds1.7
Confidence55.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Newcastle 55.3%
  • Draw 22.4%
  • Bournemouth 22.4%

Season statistics

FA Cup · highlighted side is stronger

NewcastleBournemouth

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals20.8% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.8% · 1.59.1% · 2.62
3.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.7% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X63.3%
X236.7%

Match result

Newcastle1.7
Draw4.2
Bournemouth4.2

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance63.3%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance36.7%
Odds2.1

Newcastle

Chance55.3%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance22.4%
Odds4.2

Bournemouth

Chance22.4%
Odds4.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.7

NewcastleBournemouth
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

Newcastle vs Bournemouth: prediction & preview

England · FA Cup · Sat, 10 Jan 2026

Newcastle meet Bournemouth in the England, FA Cup on 10 January 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Newcastle at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 63.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Newcastle vs Bournemouth FAQs

4 questions

What time is Newcastle vs Bournemouth?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 10 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Newcastle vs Bournemouth?

Newcastle is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Newcastle vs Bournemouth prediction, H2H and stats