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Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSat, 5 Sept 2026

Newcastle

WWDDL

Sat, 5 Sept 202612:30

2 : 2

Full time

Bournemouth

DLLDW

Pre-match win probability

45.1%Newcastle26.3%Draw28.7%Bournemouth

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Newcastle

Newcastle vs Bournemouth listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence45.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Newcastle 45.1%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Bournemouth 28.7%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

NewcastleBournemouth

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X56.1%
X243.9%

Match result

Newcastle2.1
Draw3.6
Bournemouth3.3

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance56.1%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance43.9%
Odds1.7

Newcastle

Chance45.1%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Bournemouth

Chance28.7%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.33

NewcastleBournemouth
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall61%39%

Newcastle vs Bournemouth: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Newcastle meet Bournemouth in the England, Premier League on 5 September 2026 at 12:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Newcastle at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Newcastle vs Bournemouth FAQs

4 questions

What time is Newcastle vs Bournemouth?

Kickoff is 12:30 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Newcastle vs Bournemouth?

Newcastle is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Newcastle vs Bournemouth prediction, H2H and stats