Get Premium

Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSat, 2 May 2026

Newcastle

LLLLL

Sat, 2 May 202615:00

3 : 1

Full time

Brighton

WDWWW

Pre-match win probability

37.3%Newcastle25.4%Draw37.3%Brighton

Our prediction

Away · Newcastle

Newcastle vs Brighton listed tip from the board.

Odds2.55
Confidence37.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Newcastle 37.3%
  • Draw 25.4%
  • Brighton 37.3%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

NewcastleBrighton

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Newcastle2.55
Draw3.75
Brighton2.55

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.5

Newcastle

Chance37.3%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance25.4%
Odds3.75

Brighton

Chance37.3%
Odds2.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.55

NewcastleBrighton
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall50%50%

Newcastle vs Brighton: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sat, 2 May 2026

Newcastle meet Brighton in the England, Premier League on 2 May 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Newcastle at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Newcastle vs Brighton FAQs

4 questions

What time is Newcastle vs Brighton?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 2 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Newcastle vs Brighton?

Newcastle is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Newcastle vs Brighton prediction, H2H and stats