Newcastle vs Leeds Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Newcastle

WWLDW

Wed, 7 Jan 202621:15

4 : 3

Full time

Leeds

DDDWD

Pre-match win probability

57.5%Newcastle25.3%Draw17.2%Leeds

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Newcastle

Newcastle vs Leeds listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence57.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Newcastle 57.5%
  • Draw 25.3%
  • Leeds 17.2%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

NewcastleLeeds

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
3.5 goals7.4% · 3.217.5% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X65.9%
X234.1%

Match result

Newcastle1.65
Draw3.75
Leeds5.5

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance65.9%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance34.1%
Odds2.2

Newcastle

Chance57.5%
Odds1.65

Draw

Chance25.3%
Odds3.75

Leeds

Chance17.2%
Odds5.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.14

NewcastleLeeds
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall77%23%

Newcastle vs Leeds: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Wed, 7 Jan 2026

Newcastle meet Leeds in the England, Premier League on 7 January 2026 at 21:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Newcastle at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Newcastle vs Leeds FAQs

4 questions

What time is Newcastle vs Leeds?

Kickoff is 21:15 on 7 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Newcastle vs Leeds?

Newcastle is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Newcastle vs Leeds prediction, H2H and stats