Get Premium

Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · FA CupSat, 7 Mar 2026

Newcastle

WLWLW

Sat, 7 Mar 202621:00

1 : 3

Full time

Manchester City

DWWWW

Pre-match win probability

30.6%Newcastle26.3%Draw43.1%Manchester City

Our prediction

Away · Newcastle

Newcastle vs Manchester City listed tip from the board.

Odds2.2
Confidence43.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Newcastle 30.6%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Manchester City 43.1%

Season statistics

FA Cup · highlighted side is stronger

NewcastleManchester City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.7% · 1.25.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.7% · 1.7311.2% · 2.1
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X43.9%
X256.1%

Match result

Newcastle3.1
Draw3.6
Manchester City2.2

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance43.9%
Odds1.7

X2

Chance56.1%
Odds1.33

Newcastle

Chance30.6%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Manchester City

Chance43.1%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.2

NewcastleManchester City
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall42%58%

Newcastle vs Manchester City: prediction & preview

England · FA Cup · Sat, 7 Mar 2026

Newcastle meet Manchester City in the England, FA Cup on 7 March 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester City at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Newcastle vs Manchester City FAQs

4 questions

What time is Newcastle vs Manchester City?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 7 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Newcastle vs Manchester City?

Manchester City is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Newcastle vs Manchester City prediction, H2H and stats