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Newcastle vs Qarabag Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueTue, 24 Feb 2026

Newcastle

12th in table · 14 pts

Tue, 24 Feb 202621:00

3 : 2

Full time

Qarabag

22nd in table · 10 pts

Pre-match win probability

83.6%Newcastle10%Draw6.4%Qarabag

Our prediction

Home · Newcastle

Newcastle vs Qarabag listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence83.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Newcastle 83.6%
  • Draw 10%
  • Qarabag 6.4%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

NewcastleQarabag
Wins
43
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Newcastle0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Qarabag0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNewcastle 1W · 0D · Qarabag 0W · 7 goals a game
      • 18 FebQarabag1 – 6Newcastle

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals0%0.9% · 34
      1.5 goals29.1% · 1.083.9% · 8
      2.5 goals24.5% · 1.288.4% · 3.75
      3.5 goals18.2% · 1.7315% · 2.1

      Both teams to score

      Yes50%
      No50%

      Double chance

      1X84.2%
      X215.8%

      Match result

      Newcastle1.14
      Draw9.5
      Qarabag15

      Both teams to score

      Yes50% · 1.91
      No50% · 1.91

      1X

      Chance84.2%
      Odds1.03

      X2

      Chance15.8%
      Odds5.5

      Newcastle

      Chance83.6%
      Odds1.14

      Draw

      Chance10%
      Odds9.5

      Qarabag

      Chance6.4%
      Odds15

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Home at 1.14

      NewcastleQarabag
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head100%0%
      Overall93%7%

      Newcastle vs Qarabag: prediction & preview

      World · UEFA Champions League · Tue, 24 Feb 2026

      Newcastle meet Qarabag in the World, UEFA Champions League on 24 February 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Newcastle at 1.14. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 83.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.28, about 74.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Newcastle vs Qarabag FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Newcastle vs Qarabag?

      Kickoff is 21:00 on 24 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Newcastle vs Qarabag?

      Newcastle is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.14. The margin-adjusted share is about 83.6%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.28 and under 2.5 is 3.75.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.