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Newcastle vs Sunderland Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSun, 22 Mar 2026

Newcastle

LWDLW

Sun, 22 Mar 202613:00

1 : 2

Full time

Sunderland

LLWDL

Pre-match win probability

56.7%Newcastle24.3%Draw19%Sunderland

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Newcastle

Newcastle vs Sunderland listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence56.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Newcastle 56.7%
  • Draw 24.3%
  • Sunderland 19%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

NewcastleSunderland

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X64.8%
X235.2%

Match result

Newcastle1.67
Draw3.9
Sunderland5

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance64.8%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance35.2%
Odds2.15

Newcastle

Chance56.7%
Odds1.67

Draw

Chance24.3%
Odds3.9

Sunderland

Chance19%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.17

NewcastleSunderland
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall75%25%

Newcastle vs Sunderland: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 22 Mar 2026

Newcastle meet Sunderland in the England, Premier League on 22 March 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Newcastle at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Newcastle vs Sunderland FAQs

4 questions

What time is Newcastle vs Sunderland?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 22 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Newcastle vs Sunderland?

Newcastle is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Newcastle vs Sunderland prediction, H2H and stats