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Newells Old Boys vs Independiente Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Liga Profesional ArgentinaWed, 28 Jan 2026

Newells Old Boys

L

Wed, 28 Jan 202602:15

1 : 1

Full time

Independiente

DWDWW

Pre-match win probability

27.3%Newells Old Boys32.9%Draw39.8%Independiente

Our prediction

Away · Newells Old Boys

Newells Old Boys vs Independiente listed tip from the board.

Odds2.4
Confidence39.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Newells Old Boys 27.3%
  • Draw 32.9%
  • Independiente 39.8%

Season statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina · highlighted side is stronger

Newells Old BoysIndependiente

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals20.6% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
1.5 goals14.9% · 1.5710.4% · 2.25
2.5 goals8.1% · 2.8816.8% · 1.4
3.5 goals3.9% · 621% · 1.12

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X47.6%
X252.4%

Match result

Newells Old Boys3.5
Draw2.9
Independiente2.4

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance47.6%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance52.4%
Odds1.36

Newells Old Boys

Chance27.3%
Odds3.5

Draw

Chance32.9%
Odds2.9

Independiente

Chance39.8%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.4

Newells Old BoysIndependiente
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall41%59%

Newells Old Boys vs Independiente: prediction & preview

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Wed, 28 Jan 2026

Newells Old Boys meet Independiente in the Argentina, Liga Profesional Argentina on 28 January 2026 at 02:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Newells Old Boys vs Independiente FAQs

4 questions

What time is Newells Old Boys vs Independiente?

Kickoff is 02:15 on 28 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Newells Old Boys vs Independiente?

Independiente is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.88 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Newells Old Boys vs Independiente prediction, H2H and stats