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Nice vs Lorient Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 22 Feb 2026

Nice

16th in table · 32 pts

LWWLW

Sun, 22 Feb 202617:15

3 : 3

Full time

Lorient

9th in table · 45 pts

DLWWD

Pre-match win probability

41.9%Nice27.7%Draw30.4%Lorient

Our prediction

Away · Nice

Nice vs Lorient listed tip from the board.

Odds3.1
Confidence41.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nice 41.9%
  • Draw 27.7%
  • Lorient 30.4%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NiceLorient
Goals scored (avg)
0.80.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.2
Wins
711
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Nice3W 4D 3L in last 10
  • 23 OctStade Brestois 291 – 2NiceW
  • 18 OctLyon2 – 1NiceL
  • 11 OctNice2 – 1StrasbourgW
  • 20 SeptNice2 – 1LilleW
  • 12 SeptAuxerre1 – 0NiceL
Lorient3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 25 OctAngers0 – 0LorientD
  • 18 OctLorient1 – 0MonacoW
  • 10 OctLorient1 – 0Paris FCW
  • 19 SeptLe Mans2 – 1LorientL
  • 12 SeptLorient2 – 2ToulouseD
H2H
Head to headNice 3W · 4D · Lorient 2W · 2 goals a game
  • 22 AugNice0 – 0Lorient
  • 4 MarLorient0 – 0Nice
  • 30 NovLorient3 – 1Nice
  • 19 AprNice3 – 0Lorient
  • 20 AugLorient1 – 1Nice
  • 19 MarNice1 – 1Lorient

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X54.4%
X245.6%

Match result

Nice2.25
Draw3.4
Lorient3.1

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance54.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance45.6%
Odds1.62

Nice

Chance41.9%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance27.7%
Odds3.4

Lorient

Chance30.4%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 3.1

NiceLorient
Recent form52%48%
Attack47%53%
Defence53%47%
Goals model47%53%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall58%42%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 1

Nice scored 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Nice conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Failed to score in 5 of those 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Nice vs Lorient: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 22 Feb 2026

Nice meet Lorient in the France, Ligue 1 on 22 February 2026 at 17:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nice at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nice vs Lorient FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nice vs Lorient?

Kickoff is 17:15 on 22 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nice vs Lorient?

Nice is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.